Navy
W-L: ( 7- 4) PR = 94.1046Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Iona MAAC ( 2-12, 84.3) 17- 7 214 A Towson CAA ( 7- 3, 95.5) 8-12 217 H VMI NEC ( 4- 6, 85.1) 19-12 221 H Penn State B10 ( 6- 4, 98.8) 12-11 228 A Boston Univ PATRIOT ( 5- 5, 94.2) 10-15 307 H Bucknell PATRIOT ( 7- 4, 91.5) 16-12 310 A Jacksonville ASUN ( 6- 4, 95.2) 10- 9 314 A Johns Hopkins B10 ( 7- 3, 96.3) 10-14 320 A Lafayette PATRIOT ( 5- 6, 90.4) 15- 9 328 H Colgate PATRIOT ( 4- 6, 92.6) 15-16 404 H Holy Cross PATRIOT ( 5- 6, 89.5) 20-13 411 A Army PATRIOT ( 8- 3, 96.4) 418 A Lehigh PATRIOT ( 5- 6, 93.7) 424 H Loyola PATRIOT ( 7- 4, 93.4)
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Iona 17- 7 10 11 0.00
214 A Towson 8-12 -4 -3 -1.05
217 H VMI 19-12 7 11 0.00
221 H Penn State 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.14
228 A Boston Univ 10-15 -5 -2 - -3.34
307 H Bucknell 16-12 4 4 -0.15
310 A Jacksonville 10- 9 1 -3 + 3.64
314 A Johns Hopkins 10-14 -4 -4 -0.30
320 A Lafayette 15- 9 6 2 + 3.84
328 H Colgate 15-16 -1 3 -- -4.03
404 H Holy Cross 20-13 7 6 0.82
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Colgate 15-16 -1 3 -- -4.03 228 A Boston Univ 10-15 -5 -2 - -3.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Penn State 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.14 310 A Jacksonville 10- 9 1 -3 + 3.64 320 A Lafayette 15- 9 6 2 + 3.84 |
Navy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Albany | Navy | Navy | ||
| Army | Army | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Army | |
| Bellarmine | Navy | Navy | ||
| Binghamton | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Boston Univ | Boston Univ | Boston Univ | ||
| Brown | Navy | Navy | ||
| Bryant | Navy | Navy | ||
| Bucknell | Navy | Navy | ||
| Canisius | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Cleveland State | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Colgate | Colgate | Colgate | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Navy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Delaware | Navy | Navy | ||
| Denver | Denver | Denver | ||
| Detroit Mercy | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Drexel | Navy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Duke | Duke | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Duke | |
| Fairfield | Navy | Navy | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | Georgetown | ||
| Hampton | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Harvard | Harvard | Harvard 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| High Point | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Hobart | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Navy | |
| Hofstra | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Holy Cross | Navy | Navy | ||
| Iona | Navy | Navy | ||
| Jacksonville | Navy | Navy | ||
| Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | Johns Hopkins | ||
| Lafayette | Navy | Navy | ||
| Le Moyne | Navy | Navy 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Lehigh | Navy | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Navy | |
| LIU | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Loyola | Loyola | Loyola 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Manhattan | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Marist | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Marquette | Navy | Navy | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Maryland | |
| Massachusetts | Navy | Navy | ||
| UMassLowell | Navy | Navy | ||
| Mercer | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Mercyhurst | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Merrimack | Navy | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Michigan | Navy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Monmouth | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Navy | |
| Mt St Marys | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| NJIT | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| North Carolina | North Carolina | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | North Carolina | |
| Notre Dame | Notre Dame | Notre Dame | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Ohio State | |
| Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | Pennsylvania | ||
| Penn State | Navy | Navy | ||
| Princeton | Princeton | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Princeton | |
| Providence | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Queens | Navy | Navy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Quinnipiac | Navy | Navy | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Robert Morris | Navy | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Navy | |
| Rutgers | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Navy | |
| Sacred Heart | Navy | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Siena | Navy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| St Bonnies | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| St Johns | Navy | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| St Josephs | Navy | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Navy | |
| Stony Brook | Navy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UMBC | Navy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Navy | |
| Utah | Utah | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Utah | |
| Vermont | Navy | Navy | ||
| Villanova | Navy | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Navy | |
| Virginia | Virginia | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Virginia | |
| VMI | Navy | Navy | ||
| Wagner | Navy | Navy | ||
| Yale | Yale | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Yale |
PowerWise = 54
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 10.36
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Iona ( 2-12, 84.3) 17- 7 -15.63 5.67 -1.55 0.94 7.76
0 A Towson ( 7- 3, 95.5) 8-12 -4.40 16.90 1.55 0.94 -1.34
0 H VMI ( 4- 6, 85.1) 19-12 -14.81 6.49 -1.55 0.94 9.30
0 H Penn State ( 6- 4, 98.8) 12-11 -1.11 20.19 -1.55 0.94 35.13
0 A Boston Univ ( 5- 5, 94.2) 10-15 -5.68 15.61 1.55 0.94 -1.95
0 H Bucknell ( 7- 4, 91.5) 16-12 -8.39 12.90 -1.55 0.94 21.40
0 A Jacksonville ( 6- 4, 95.2) 10- 9 -4.71 16.59 1.55 0.94 34.18
0 A Johns Hopkins ( 7- 3, 96.3) 10-14 -3.65 17.65 1.55 0.94 -0.99
0 A Lafayette ( 5- 6, 90.4) 15- 9 -9.50 11.79 1.55 0.94 25.14
0 H Colgate ( 4- 6, 92.6) 15-16 -7.28 14.02 -1.55 0.94 -4.16
0 H Holy Cross ( 5- 6, 89.5) 20-13 -10.43 10.87 -1.55 0.94 17.56
------
142.03
|
winning pts = 150.4643 losing points = -8.4353
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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